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貿易戰對中國圣誕燈出口和美國進口影響幾何?
更新時間:2018-12-13   瀏覽:

       外媒近日稱,美國各州的圣誕燈銷售大都受到特朗普政府301條款關稅的打擊和影響,因為美國企業不得不支付進口產品的額外關稅。因為美國本土缺少大型的圣誕燈制造商,幾乎所有圣誕樹燈飾都依賴進口。

  美國人口普查數據顯示,出于庫存考慮,美國80%進口燈飾的采購在8-10月完成,而中國產品占這些進口燈飾的85%左右,并且幾乎所有LED燈都來自中國(2017年)。

  8%最惠國(MFN)稅率加上301條款的10%關稅,燈飾產品總稅率達到18%。這些措施于9月24日生效,恰逢美國零售商庫存采購時期。

  分析人士預測,今年圣誕節期間,這些關稅暫時不會導致消費者價格大幅上漲。然而,正如特朗普所威脅的那樣,提高關稅可能會導致明年價格大幅上漲。

  “這場關稅的實質是給企業和工薪家庭帶來傷害,而圣誕燈飾僅是一個小小的的縮影。”共和黨眾議員兼Tariffs Hurt the Heartland(美國非官方反對貿易戰組織)的發言人Charles Boustany說道,“提高企業和消費者的節假日消費成本并沒有任何意義,只會讓與這場貿易戰無關的美國民眾最終選擇在民意調查上泄憤。”

  Tariffs Hurt the Heartland表示還將后續追蹤關稅對行業、各州以及個別產品的影響。而Tariffs Hurt the Heartland近日發布的據美國政府月度數據編制的報告顯示,貿易戰造成美國企業、農民和消費者的成本上升并導致了出口下降。根據2018年9月的數據,美國企業支付了前所未有的44億美元的進口關稅,其中包括特朗普針對關稅目標產品加稅后額外征收的14億美元。隨著中國政府也采取相應的回擊加稅措施,日前公布的出口關稅數據顯示,美國在9月份被征收報復性關稅產品的出口較上年減少25億美元,同比減少26%,受到嚴重影響。

  不過值得高興的是,當地時間12月1日,中美已經就經貿問題達成共識,美國政府對中國2000億產品征收10%的加征關稅原定在明年1月1號提高到25%,現在已經決定明年1月1號仍然維持在10%,雙方決定不再對新的產品加征新的關稅。該進展對美國企業和中國企業而言都是一個好消息。因為按照此前301條款稅率將在2019年增加至25%的計劃,總稅率將高達33%,明年圣誕節燈飾可能會變得更加昂貴。

  就出口電商而言,美國是任何一個跨境賣家都無法忽略的重要市場。雙方停止互相加征新的關稅,無疑可以讓相關企業和零售商暫時松一口氣。

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